Archive for the ‘economy’ Category

Sales Up, Inventories Down

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

December saw an unexpected decrease in wholesale inventories bringing with it the possibility that the improving U.S. economy has long-lasting legs. According to a Bloomberg article, “at the current sales pace, it would take 1.12 months for wholesalers to deplete the amount of goods on hand.” Stockpiles hit a record-low of 1.11 reading in June, as companies reduced stock to compensate for the lack of consumer demand.

What does the 0.8 percent decrease in stockpiles for December represent? It shows that manufacturers couldn’t keep pace with the level of demand which includes inventory rebuilding along with increased sales.

The rebuilding of depleted inventories contributed 3.4 percent points to gross domestic product in the fourth quarter, the most in 20 years.

With a large chunk of inventory depletion coming from inventories of durable goods (items meant to last three or more years), this gives lasting support for the continued expansion of the U.S. economy. According to a report from the Labor Department, job openings in December increased to 2.5 million from 2.43 million a month earlier with most opportunities in manufacturing and retail, further highlights the continued growth in the U.S. economy. [Bloomberg]

The Cliff Has Come to Us

Friday, October 24th, 2008

Today is going to be a bad day for the stock market. All the indexes will be down horrible. As I am writing this warning, I’m not sure what I’m going to do. My initial reaction to knowing a 500 point drop is coming today is to get rid of most of my portfolio and possibly buy later on in the day if things turn around. If things don’t turn around, I’ll keep the cash in safer investments.

What is causing this huge drop? Mostly momentum to the down side because people are running scared due to the slowing world economy and the continued destruction of assets prices.

*Note: (Update: After looking at more data and numbers, the DOW will be under 8, 000 and could get as low as 7,500.) This recession is going to be longer than anything in recent history. So grab a rope and hold on – it’s going to be a bumpy ride.